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FAO Cereal Price Index

GlobalFAOindex pointsUpdated Jul 1, 2026
96.92Negative
1M
-1.04%
3M
-4.24%
6M
-4.48%
1Y
-5.89%

Market view

Score 45/100
Neutral75% confidenceNeutral

FAO Cereal Price Index remains range-bound, with a downward price trend of weak conviction and stable momentum. Prices are trading at 0% of the 30-day range and recent currency news skews upward. Volatility is contained, so moves are more likely to persist than reverse abruptly.

Price signal · downwardMomentum · stableEvent signal · upwardVolatility · Low

Weekly

Change-1.04%
TrendNegative
VolatilityLow volatility

Monthly

30-day change-4.24%
Trend strengthweak momentum
Range position0% of 30D range

Event signal

18 linked
Upward9
Downward4
Neutral / mixed5

Key drivers

4 tracked
Currency
BearishLow
Demand
BullishHigh
Policy
BullishLow
Supply
BullishMedium
Open driver analysis →

Latest news

5 shown
US Midwest heat dome hits corn silking
Jul 13, 2026 · Weather · USDA WAOB · 2 sources

Extended heat during pollination raises yield risk in Iowa and Illinois.

EU CBAM guidance tightens on fertiliser
Jul 10, 2026 · Policy · EC

Updated methodology raises implicit costs for imported nitrogen.

Ukraine grain corridor incident
Jul 9, 2026 · Logistics · Reuters · 2 sources

Odesa terminal damaged, briefly halting cereal loadings.

Australia wheat crop outlook improves
Jul 4, 2026 · Weather · ABARES

ABARES lifts production forecast on favourable winter rains.

Egypt announces wheat tender
Jun 30, 2026 · Demand · Reuters

GASC returns to market for October–November delivery.

Market view combines price signal (-1.0% over 1M), momentum, event signal and driver signals. It is not generated from free-form text.